tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5799143440468005168.post713114475927158266..comments2019-04-20T18:45:48.177-05:00Comments on The Saberoticians - Fantasy Baseball Advice: Great Article on a Potential New Market InefficiencyDerek Cartyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15051667211745800764noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5799143440468005168.post-7938273767861213962007-05-04T23:57:00.000-05:002007-05-04T23:57:00.000-05:00This issue was discussed briefly in the book "Fant...This issue was discussed briefly in the book "Fantasyland". I tend to agree with it, with one caveat: judge your level of competition before determining how much risk to accept.<BR/><BR/>What I mean is this: in an uncompetitive fantasy league (or baseball league, for that matter), you have little to gain by seeking out risky players. If you select safe, proven performers, you should be able to beat your weak competition anyway. Taking on more risk only serves to either (a) increase your lead, or (b) sink your team.<BR/><BR/>On the other hand, in a very competitive league, you might made the perfectly valued selection in each round of the draft, and yet have only an average team (since every other team will also have drafted well). In this case, it behooves you to seek out riskier players, as you don't have much to lose. Either you will lose by a lot (instead of a little), or the unexpected value will boost you into contention.<BR/><BR/>Does this make sense to anyone else?Mark Geoffriauhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11914572910280384991noreply@blogger.com